The
Presentation by Jesse Holshouser, focused on the role of capital markets in
real estate investing. Starting with the history of traditional lending by
Saving & Loans (S&L) establishments to the very complex world of CMBS
loans, Jesse gave a unique perspective as someone who had exposure to the
different phases of real estate lending.
Working
with a local S&L as a young college graduate, Jesse had a hand’s on
learning experience that gave him a strong understanding and appreciation for
traditional lending and development. During this era, S&L’s were the source
of funding for most residential borrowing, while insurance companies provided debt
capital on the commercial side. With the introduction of Reg. Q, S&Ls were
forced to offer the same rates, which removed the ability for these companies
to be competitive. This along with the economic challenges of the 70’s, like
spiked inflation, deficit spending and a global energy crisis, led to the
S&L crisis from 1976 to 1978. Even
after the government attempted to reverse the effects of Reg. Q, with
deregulation, the damage was already done which ended the era of S&Ls.
As
the government pursued more intervention from 1986 to 1995 agencies like the
FDIC was introduced to manage regulation. As regulation grew from that time, so
did the introduction of financial innovation and what would become a mortgage
revolution. Eventually with the introduction of Fannie and Freddie providing
insurance to third part investors, came the emergence of mortgage-backed
securities. With an abundance of available capital in the mortgage market and Fannie
and Freddie backing loans, subprime loans began to become common. These
subprime loans would create a doomed bubble that lead to the mortgage crisis
and eventually the Great Recession of 2007 & 2008.
Jesse’s
history lesson on the mortgage markets offers an important perspective on where
we are today and may shed light on the role of capital markets in real estate
in the future. As George Santayana said, “Those that don’t know history are
doomed to repeat it.” Since the great
recession, the economy has rebounded, and there has been an abundance of cheap
capital available for real estate investments. The demand for these types of
investments has caused commercial real estate prices to rise almost
artificially, as investors lower their return expectations. Even with more
regulation, financial innovation continues to evolve to answer investment
demands, and as a result continues to be even more complex. As today’s real
estate investors pursue local deals, they must have a handle on the complexity
of capital markets to benefit from the availability of affordable capital and
avoid future bubbles. However, local
developers and investors with this knowledge and reach will have an advantage
in today’s real estate investment climate.
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